20.10.06

I Got the Blues

It is just like me to go on a rant about something and then use said rant target within the next few minutes. In this case: YouTube. I was watching a video that someone had sent me, and I started poking around on the site, and eventually came across this starlet: Ysabella Brave (make sure your sound is on!).


I am a big fan of Ella Fitzgerald, Billie Holiday and blues in general, and oh how refreshing it is to hear it in today's world! I am not going to lie, I haven't listened to mainstream radio in about 7 or 8 years. I just can't. There are so few good songs being played, and I dislike commercials so much that it doesn't make sense to me. But this, even though she only sings through karaoke, is exciting to hear.

I am not too well-versed in singers that are around nowadays, so if there are more people that sing from their soul so that you can actually hear their heart, please give me suggestions. One of the few pop culture figures that I feel does this well is Alicia Keys. I can feel her from the opening notes of "Fallin' ", and that makes me happy.

As I am sitting and listening to these renditions of some classic songs, it really makes me want go back in time, and see what LIFE was. Because that was "life." I don't think that what most of us choose to live today is really "life" (granted that is a result of a capitalist and consumeristic society, but that is a can of worms I won't get into tonight). I imagine sitting in a city, being able to write songs with a fraction of the distractions of today and four times the focus, interacting with people on a real level, going out to a jazz club at night and getting to sing your heart out. But who knows, I may be basing this all off of movies and TV; I find it difficult to tell the difference between that stuff and my imagination sometimes.

Looks like tonight I am going to be a-sittin' and a-tappin' to some good ole rhythm 'n' blues. And frankly, there ain't a damn thing wrong with that.

19.10.06



Mark Cuban is Right

There. I said it. He isn't entirely right in saying that GooTube will be enveloped in lawsuits, but he is correct in thinking that Google is moronic for snatching up YouTube.

Cuban isn't a stranger to dumb d
eals (Broadcast.com, anyone?) and, while I don't agree with everything he says or does, he is pretty spot-on with this one.

Before Google and YouTube made their unholy union, you may remember that YouTube signed some deals with Warner, Universal, and Sony BMG. Yeah, okay. Let's take a step back and look at this situation. Here you have YouTube, a great playground for amateur filmsters and pranksters everywhere. Free for everyone, no advertising, no restrictions and no limits. Good deal, right? Actually, yes... that is right. That is an absolutely fabulous scenario for We the People.

Unfortunately, the big boys had to come into the playground, push some people around and let their presence be known: this Web site is no longer for, about and by the People. Now, the People are once again being used as pawns in the lovely game that is internet advertising. YouTube lost the "You" right about this time. Now there is a bevy of the cor
porate-type that have the leeway to cut videos as they please, and generally dilute the entire experience. Where is the fun in that?

A similar tragedy is in the works for MySpace. As one of the first members of MySpace (2003, baby!), the change I see is sickening. There are sponsorships everywhere, fake profiles being used to push products and a lack of genuineness. I agree with Donna Bogatin of ZD Net that the marketing and advertising folk have the dollar signs in their eyes without regards to the user's experience. They are looking at the present... not the future, which is where your eyes should be focused when you're investing. How long can YouTube, established as a user-generated Web site, continue to thrive when the user will slowly be losing its voice?

Boom or Bust!

$1.65 billion isn't chump change. I don't care if it didn't make a dent in Google's wallet, it is ridiculous to think of an amount of money that makes you wonder if there are any countries worth less. For an unproven platform? Are you kidding me? I know the "Bubble 2.0" theories are tired, but you know what? There is substantial validity to them. Stocks are crazy, revenues are crazy, 20-something Internet video guys are getting enough money to buy space ships; and everyone is laughing all the way to the bank.

Eventually, that bank is going to have too many people trying to cash their Check 2.0's, and people are going to look back just like I did today ($5 billion for Broadcast.com?!?!) and think, "YouTube for $1.65 billion?!?!" or better yet, "Facebook for $1 billion?!?!" Sure, there will always be the lucky ones like Chad Hurley and Steve Chen, but as
for the rest of us: tread lightly.

18.10.06

I'm Probably Right...

Hey everyone, and welcome to my brand spankin' new blog. I've known about blogs for years, and Lord knows I have had opinions for even longer, it just came down to an issue of laziness and motivation to actually start one.

However, today I was checking out a luncheon held by the San Francisco Bay Area Publicity Club that dealt with "new media" and podcasting. David Beach of Wink.com (and also of ItsBeach.com, SwedeLife.com and DieOld.org) was one of the speakers, and he was very adamant that we all go home and start blogging. I have also been inspired by Todd Defren of SHIFT Communications and his blog, PR Squared. Put enough coals under me, and I'll get to it.

I am 100% aware of the value of blogs within a lot of circles, and I think that is the beauty of starting "I'm Probably Right." The way I see this thing panning out is with something for everyone. Because I'm in the high-tech industry, you'd better believe I am going to weigh in on what is going on here in Silicon Valley and Web 2.0 in general. And because I am from Texas, you had also better believe that there will be talk of football, and more importantly, the Dallas Cowboys and Texas Longhorns. I am a random guy (words of other people, though I am beginning to strongly believe it) and I will have random thoughts.

Basically, expect an interesting read, and FEEL FREE to leave comments! I will always respond, and I typically don't stand in the middle on any issues, so there will be plenty of opinionated arguments to be had.

With that being said, welcome to "I'm Probably Right!"